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Dermatology · Immunology

Lutikizumab in Hidradenitis Suppurativa: market forecast and verdict

AbbVie · Phase III INTREPID met its primary endpoint, 22 October 2026 · Filing planned H2 2027

OUR VERDICTA late, modest entrant into a fast growing but crowded market.It worked with clean safety and fast pain relief, but the gap over placebo was small and two IL-17 drugs got there first.
~USD 450M
Base case US net revenue, 2032Range USD 225M to 800M · Zaash Labs estimate
31.4% vs 23.4%
patients with 75% lesion improvement (HiSCR75) at week 16
1,400
patients in the INTREPID Phase III trial
H2 2027
planned regulatory filing

What was approved and why it matters

AbbVie's lutikizumab is an antibody that blocks both IL-1 alpha and IL-1 beta. In the Phase III INTREPID trial in moderate to severe hidradenitis suppurativa it met its primary endpoint with a safety profile similar to placebo.

Frequently asked questions

What did the INTREPID trial show?

31.4% of patients on lutikizumab reached HiSCR75 at week 16 against 23.4% on placebo. Pain improved faster and fewer patients had flares; adverse event rates matched placebo.

When could lutikizumab be approved?

AbbVie plans regulatory submissions in the second half of 2027, after 52 week data.

What are lutikizumab's projected sales?

Zaash Labs' base case is about USD 450 million of US net revenue in 2032, within a range of USD 225 million to 800 million.

Figures are company reported or from published sources unless marked as Zaash Labs estimates. Sources are listed in the executive summary and the full report. Market research to support business decisions; not investment advice.